Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.441741 0.509750 0.583795 0.670273 0.768369 0.876057 1.003092
2025-08-31 0.313789 0.403290 0.510460 0.647657 0.817987 1.021810 1.283441
2025-09-07 0.264909 0.368261 0.500815 0.681975 0.921603 1.226004 1.639989
2025-09-14 0.213767 0.317875 0.459452 0.663919 0.949072 1.329631 1.872273
2025-09-21 0.176221 0.278235 0.424342 0.645806 0.969189 1.419506 2.088120
2025-09-28 0.148296 0.247334 0.396014 0.631424 0.989591 1.507518 2.304434
2025-10-05 0.133004 0.232932 0.389342 0.646681 1.052533 1.658947 2.621183
2025-10-12 0.123832 0.226698 0.393892 0.678620 1.142283 1.855486 3.018325
2025-10-19 0.113018 0.215994 0.389577 0.695132 1.208164 2.019368 3.376383
2025-10-26 0.102063 0.203387 0.380317 0.701845 1.257733 2.160081 3.706758
2025-11-02 0.091326 0.189596 0.367194 0.700057 1.292018 2.277429 4.006220
2025-11-09 0.080939 0.174968 0.350745 0.690302 1.310987 2.369734 4.269331
2025-11-16 0.071778 0.161680 0.335592 0.681926 1.332660 2.469999 4.556588
2025-11-23 0.062120 0.146010 0.314120 0.659506 1.326928 2.522587 4.766152
2025-11-30 0.059799 0.145496 0.322192 0.694443 1.430115 2.774230 5.341894
2025-12-07 0.052459 0.132890 0.304313 0.676087 1.430061 2.839046 5.586229
2025-12-14 0.046065 0.121433 0.287388 0.657670 1.427766 2.898713 5.823935
2025-12-21 0.040781 0.111763 0.273086 0.643045 1.431329 2.968899 6.084828
2025-12-28 0.038343 0.108671 0.272921 0.658560 1.497414 3.163041 6.592886
2026-01-04 0.037268 0.108863 0.280206 0.691035 1.601265 3.437387 7.272144
2026-01-11 0.035212 0.106199 0.280523 0.707824 1.672952 3.652187 7.847140
2026-01-18 0.032725 0.102004 0.276690 0.714649 1.723435 3.827119 8.352795
2026-01-25 0.029993 0.096702 0.269513 0.712832 1.754458 3.963679 8.788325